US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) - YCharts

26 rows  · Dec 5, 2024  · In depth view into US Recession Probability including historical data from 1960 to 2025, charts and stats. US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) 33.56% for Nov 2025 Overview; Interactive Chart; More. Level Chart. Basic Info. US Recession Probability is at …


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US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) - YCharts

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26 rows  · Dec 5, 2024  · In depth view into US Recession Probability including historical data from 1960 to 2025, charts and stats. US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) 33.56% for Nov 2025 Overview; Interactive Chart; More. Level Chart. Basic Info. US Recession Probability is at …

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US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) - YCharts

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US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) 33.56% for Nov 2025 Overview; Interactive Chart; More. Fundamental Chart. Choose from thousands of securities and metrics to create insightful and …

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US Recession Probability Monthly Insights: US Recession ... - YCharts

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In depth view into US Recession Probability including historical data from 1960 to 2025, charts and stats. US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) 33.56% for Nov 2025 Overview; Interactive …

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Probability Of US Recession In 2025 Is 0%: Torsten Sløk. What To …

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Dec 23, 2024  · The probability of a US recession in 2025 is 0%, according to a top economist. Here's what to worry about instead. Matthew Fox. 2024-12-23T15:44:43Z An curved arrow …

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US Recession Probability (I:USRP) - YCharts

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Jun 30, 2024  · In depth view into US Recession Probability including historical data from 1967 to 2024, charts and stats. US Recession Probability (I:USRP) 1.48% for Oct 2024 Overview; …

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This Recession Indicator Is Ringing Its Most Severe Alarm In 40 …

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Jan 22, 2024  · US Recession Probability data by YCharts. Note: Past recessions are colored gray. While 63% might not sound too bad, it is the most severe reading since August 1981. …

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US Recession Probability (I:USRP) - YCharts

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US Recession Probability (I:USRP) 1.02% for Sep 2024 Overview; Interactive Chart; More. Fundamental Chart. Choose from thousands of securities and metrics to create insightful and …

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FAQs about US Recession Probability (I:USRPEM) - YCharts Coupon?

What is the US recession probability from 1967 to 2024?

View and export this data back to 1967. Upgrade now. US Recession Probability is at 1.48%, compared to 1.38% last month and 0.20% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 9.30%. In depth view into US Recession Probability including historical data from 1967 to 2024, charts and stats. ...

What is US recession probability from 1960?

View and export this data back to 1960. Upgrade now. US Recession Probability is at 33.56%, compared to 42.05% last month and 51.84% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 15.07%. In depth view into US Recession Probability including historical data from 1960 to 2025, charts and stats. ...

Is 63% a bad recession?

Gray areas represent recessions. US Recession Probability data by YCharts. Note: Past recessions are colored gray. While 63% might not sound too bad, it is the most severe reading since August 1981. And since 1960, the U.S. economy has always suffered a recession within 12 months of a reading exceeding 50%. ...

What is the probability of a recession?

When this spread inverts, the probability of a recession tends to climb. Since the beginning of 1959, the probability of a U.S. recession taking place within 12 months has surpassed 40% on only eight occasions. In 1966, a peak recession probability of 41.14% didn't lead to a recession. ...

What is a smoothed US recession probability?

Over the past 55 years, anytime the Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities surpassed 32%, a recession has either occurred very shortly thereafter, or (in hindsight) was in the very early stages of taking shape. The most recent reading (November 2022) from the Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities tool was (drum roll)...just 1.16%. ...

What is the probability of a recession in 2024?

Gray areas denote U.S. recessions. According to the NY Fed's recession-predicting tool, there's a 51.84% chance of a U.S. recession taking shape by November 2024. Though this is down from a peak probability of more than 70% just a few months ago, it's still a higher reading than at any point over the past four decades. ...

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