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FAQs about SPY: Last call for 20% off - Milled Coupon?

Is selling spy calls every quadruple witching expiration week a 'no brainer'?

The average IV since 2011 for SPY ATM calls was 16.9%; looking exclusively at quadruple witching weeks, it's only slightly higher at 17.1%. Given this notable call option underperformance, can we conclude that selling SPY calls every quadruple witching expiration week is a "no brainer"? ...

How bad is the spy call option return?

The average at-the-money SPY call option return of a 20.53% loss is far worse than the average "any week" return of -7.76% -- despite the average SPY return of 0.24% for quadruple witching arriving right in line with the "anytime" weekly return of 0.22%. ...

Do spy puts pay off?

That said, when SPY puts pay off, they pay off big. The average positive return for a profitable SPY put exceeds that of purchased calls during every week, ranging from an average positive gain of 116% during quad witching to nearly 182% (close to a triple) during monthly expiration weeks. ...

Is spy a good stock to buy during a quadruple witching week?

It's worth stipulating here that SPY returns during quadruple witching weeks average just 0.24% and 60% positive, versus the SPX's more robust 0.74% average return and 68% positive, due to SPY's quarterly dividend payout -- an extenuating circumstance accounted for by the corresponding SPY option premiums, as is to be expected. ...

Are spy put sells profitable?

For traders with high conviction that SPY will sell off during the course of any given week, a short-term options trade can be quite profitable. Finally, in terms of both win rate and average return, SPY put sells offer the best odds for short-term options traders. ...

Is spy put buying a good idea?

As for SPY put buying, it's a similar scenario to the call buying outcomes detailed above. The percentage of positive returns is uniformly slim -- ranging from a low of 16% during quad witching to a high of 23.35% in weeks outside of standard monthly options expiration -- which indicates a high probability of a losing trade. ...